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Power Board · Short the Consensus

Find power before it pops.

The Short Open HR Index is a model for underlying metrics behind the number. It blends barrel rate, hard-hit rate, strikeout%, whiff risk, contact score, plate appearances, and ballpark factor so the first read starts with power — not yesterday's box score.

barrel ratehard-hit ratewhiff riskHR% / gameplayer comparison

How to use the board

  1. Sort HR%/Game to find the first layer of power.
  2. Check Power Signal to separate clean contact from swing-and-miss volatility.
  3. Use Compare when two power profiles look close.
  4. Respect the number — the index creates a shortlist, not a guarantee.

MLB HR Index · Power Model

2025–2026 Sample 221 players
| LIVE
Top HR Signal
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Model loading
Best Contact Quality
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Quality score
Highest Volatility
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Risk stack
Low-K Power Profile
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Contact floor
Market Movers
Loading desk tape…
Compare Players
Player A
— select from table
VS
Player B
— select from table
Select players from the table below to compare head-to-head.
Comparison Desk
Select two players
Sort:
Player HR%/Game Power Grade Power Signal Contact Score Barrel% Hard Hit% K% BB% Whiff% Swing%
✦ New way to scan the board
Barrel% × Whiff% — every plotted player is a real power/risk coordinate, not a sorted row
View:
HR Calculator
PA per game
4
Ballpark Factor
0.38
Neutral Park
PitcherNeutralCoors-like

Click any player to see their breakdown

— League Insights

Where the power actually lives

HR%/Game Distribution
How rare "Elite" actually is, across the current player pool
Tier Composition
Current filtered player pool
Team Power Aggregation
Average Contact Score by team — which lineups are actually stacked, current filters applied
Neon = highest power potential — multiple bats in the lineup capable of a 2-homer game
How the model reads two different profiles
Same formula, two different paths to a similar grade

What is the HR Index?

A board built around contact quality, PA context, strikeout risk, and ballpark factors. The goal is to look at isolated power away from recency bias.

Why barrel rate matters

This identifies hitters creating contact that can leave the park. The index pairs it with hard-hit%, whiff%, and strikeout% so one stat does not carry the whole read.

Short Open filter

Sort player by individual hitting metrics. The edge is not finding a name you like — it is finding the signal before the public prices it up.